WSJ: Europe, US Need Grand Bargain on Chips and EVs to Counter China

South Korea, Japan and the EU see America's electric-vehicle subsidies as discriminating against non-American manufacturers, and are "rebuffing" restrictions on exporting sensitive semiconductor technology to China, reports the Wall Street Journal. (Alternate URL here.) The EU's executive arm complains that newly-passed U.S. subsidies constitute "a market-distorting boost, tilting the global level playing field and turning a common global objective — fighting climate change — into a zero-sum game." There's a grand bargain to be had here: the U.S. makes its allies eligible for its EV subsidies and those allies join its semiconductor controls. The politics and details of any such bargain are, of course, difficult, maybe insurmountable. Yet such an accommodation, if it happened, would entail almost no economic cost to the U.S. or its allies — and potentially large long-term gains.... The U.S. Treasury Department could use its administrative discretion to phase in the Inflation Reduction Act's provisions or define content to allow more of these manufacturers' products to qualify. It could also interpret "free-trade agreement" to include not just formal bilateral treaties but broader pacts such as the WTO Government Procurement Agreement or the Minerals Security Partnership, both of which include Japan, South Korea, and the European Union but not mainland China or Russia. If the U.S. bends to its allies on electric vehicles, its allies should bend to the U.S. on semiconductors.... Meanwhile, business as usual entails its own — potentially significant — costs. China's long-term goal is self sufficiency in all advanced technology, including semiconductors. It does business with Western companies until its own national champions can displace them first in China and then abroad. It has already followed the script in high-speed rail, power generation and telecommunications equipment. If China has its way, the market share that South Korean, Japanese and European semiconductor companies are trying to preserve will be gone a few decades from now.

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